Jason Spezza vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 56.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 55.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
49.8% (309)
+3.9%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
64.5% (31)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
50.0% (4)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
Home
55.0% (282)
51.7% (203)
Away
50.8% (295)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Spezza
Kotkaniemi
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
53.2%
50.4%
P3
52.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |