Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Thornton 46.2% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 50.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Spezza
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
43.5% (161)
+10.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
50.0% (14)
+4.3%
On even strength, Spezza has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Spezza
Thornton
Home
55.0% (282)
41.5% (106)
Away
50.8% (295)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Spezza
Thornton
P1
53.1%
50.8%
P2
53.2%
41.0%
P3
52.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%