Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Tavares 59.8% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Spezza
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
60.9% (1,043)
-7.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
60.4% (278)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
47.6% (21)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Spezza
Tavares
Home
55.0% (282)
63.5% (684)
Away
50.8% (295)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Spezza
Tavares
P1
53.1%
60.3%
P2
53.2%
60.4%
P3
52.3%
60.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%