Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Toews 58.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 56.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Spezza
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Spezza
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Spezza
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Spezza
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
58.0% (901)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
69.5% (226)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
51.7% (209)
-13.5%
On power play, Toews has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Spezza
Toews
Home
55.0% (282)
59.3% (637)
Away
50.8% (295)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Spezza
Toews
P1
53.1%
61.5%
P2
53.2%
55.2%
P3
52.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |