Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Bailey 44.3% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 56.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 76.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 65.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Spezza
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Spezza
Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
39.8% (83)
+13.9%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
27.3% (22)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
80.0% (5)
-41.8%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Bailey is 30.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Spezza
Bailey
Home
55.0% (282)
33.3% (48)
Away
50.8% (295)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Spezza
Bailey
P1
53.1%
33.3%
P2
53.2%
47.2%
P3
52.3%
39.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |