Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Hayes 43.8% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 63.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Spezza
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
42.7% (478)
+11.0%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
42.9% (98)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
45.2% (31)
-7.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hayes
Home
55.0% (282)
43.5% (232)
Away
50.8% (295)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Spezza
Hayes
P1
53.1%
40.1%
P2
53.2%
44.8%
P3
52.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%