Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Hayes 47.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 70.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Spezza
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Spezza
Hayes
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
2
Spezza
Hayes
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
6
Spezza
Hayes
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
6
Spezza
Hayes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
47.5% (6,708)
+6.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
51.7% (702)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
45.3% (697)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hayes
Home
56.8% (5,066)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Spezza
Hayes
P1
55.7%
47.5%
P2
54.4%
47.6%
P3
54.1%
47.9%
OT
51.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |