Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Rooney 45.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 64.1%
Neutral zone
Rooney 51.5%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Spezza
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Spezza
Rooney
Last 8: Spezza 4-4 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Rooney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
3
Spezza
Rooney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
45.5% (367)
+8.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
44.4% (9)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
35.7% (28)
+2.5%
On power play, Spezza has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Rooney is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Spezza
Rooney
Home
55.0% (282)
47.5% (219)
Away
50.8% (295)
41.6% (185)
By Period
Spezza
Rooney
P1
53.1%
46.4%
P2
53.2%
46.3%
P3
52.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |