Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Rooney 46.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Rooney leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.2%
Defensive zone
Rooney 75.3%
Neutral zone
Rooney 51.9%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Spezza
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Spezza
Rooney
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Rooney
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
5
Spezza
Rooney
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
46.7% (2,042)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
41.7% (48)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
43.4% (267)
+9.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Spezza
Rooney
Home
56.8% (5,066)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Spezza
Rooney
P1
55.7%
48.1%
P2
54.4%
47.1%
P3
54.1%
43.6%
OT
51.5%
12.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |