Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 90.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 67.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 71.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Spezza
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Spezza
Couture
Last 9: Spezza 7-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
0
Spezza
Couture
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Spezza
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
49.3% (879)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
61.3% (31)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
31.3% (80)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Couture is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couture
Home
56.4% (626)
51.4% (521)
Away
51.7% (636)
44.6% (469)
By Period
Spezza
Couture
P1
56.9%
44.0%
P2
51.9%
48.3%
P3
53.9%
53.1%
OT
46.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |