Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 81.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 54.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 66.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Spezza
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
27
(57 meetings)
30
27
Spezza
Couture
Last 10: Spezza 2-8 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
7
Spezza
Couture
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
7
10
Spezza
Couture
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
10
Spezza
Couture
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.8% (8,919)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
54.6% (624)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
39.8% (992)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couture
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Spezza
Couture
P1
55.7%
47.9%
P2
54.4%
47.9%
P3
54.1%
49.2%
OT
51.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |