Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Couture 48.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 61.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 79.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 56.8%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Spezza
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Spezza
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Spezza
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Spezza
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
48.7% (986)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
58.5% (94)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
44.1% (195)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Couture is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couture
Home
55.0% (282)
47.2% (625)
Away
50.8% (295)
50.2% (650)
By Period
Spezza
Couture
P1
53.1%
46.8%
P2
53.2%
49.8%
P3
52.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |