Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.1% vs Couture 46.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 62.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 52.0%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Spezza
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spezza
Couture
Last 5: Spezza 2-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Spezza
Couture
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (654)
46.2% (275)
+10.2%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
43.8% (16)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.1% (34)
+5.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Spezza shoots right. Couture is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couture
Home
61.4% (352)
46.1% (154)
Away
50.9% (395)
45.6% (171)
By Period
Spezza
Couture
P1
60.6%
45.0%
P2
54.8%
40.8%
P3
52.5%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Logan Couture |