Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Shaw 50.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 75.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 78.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 58.2%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Spezza
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Shaw
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Shaw
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
2
Spezza
Shaw
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
Spezza
Shaw
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
57.5% (80)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
100.0% (1)
-45.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
32.4% (34)
+5.8%
On power play, Shaw has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Shaw is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Spezza
Shaw
Home
55.0% (282)
56.9% (58)
Away
50.8% (295)
43.9% (57)
By Period
Spezza
Shaw
P1
53.1%
43.6%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
52.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |