Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Shaw 45.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 56.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 70.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 66.7%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Spezza
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Shaw
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Shaw
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
2
Spezza
Shaw
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
Spezza
Shaw
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
46.4% (418)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
66.7% (6)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
35.4% (96)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Shaw is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Spezza
Shaw
Home
56.8% (5,066)
46.2% (236)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Spezza
Shaw
P1
55.7%
41.3%
P2
54.4%
46.4%
P3
54.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |