Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 85.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 73.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Spezza
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Spezza
Scheifele
Last 10: Spezza 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
6
Spezza
Scheifele
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
0
Spezza
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
48.5% (631)
+9.4%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
67.2% (61)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
33.3% (15)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Spezza is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Spezza shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Spezza
Scheifele
Home
58.4% (238)
52.0% (358)
Away
55.5% (245)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Spezza
Scheifele
P1
59.2%
46.3%
P2
54.8%
50.9%
P3
57.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |