Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 51.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Spezza
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
49.3% (649)
+4.4%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
55.7% (183)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
50.0% (16)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Spezza
Scheifele
Home
55.0% (282)
52.3% (440)
Away
50.8% (295)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Spezza
Scheifele
P1
53.1%
52.3%
P2
53.2%
50.4%
P3
52.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%