Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Read 43.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 80.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Spezza
Read
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Spezza
Read
Last 6: Spezza 4-2 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Read
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Read
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Read
0
2
Spezza
Read
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Read
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
43.0% (244)
+10.8%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
36.4% (33)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
34.8% (66)
+14.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Spezza is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Spezza shoots right. Read is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Spezza
Read
Home
56.4% (853)
43.4% (166)
Away
50.5% (847)
38.9% (180)
By Period
Spezza
Read
P1
53.4%
41.2%
P2
54.2%
43.1%
P3
53.4%
38.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2012 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Matt Read |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |