Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Spezza
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Spezza
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
54.0% (955)
-0.3%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
55.6% (243)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
35.0% (140)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zibanejad
Home
55.0% (282)
55.2% (656)
Away
50.8% (295)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Spezza
Zibanejad
P1
53.1%
56.3%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
52.3%
51.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |