Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Spezza
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
21
(38 meetings)
17
21
Spezza
Zibanejad
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
8
6
Spezza
Zibanejad
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Spezza
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
12
Spezza
Zibanejad
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
50.8% (11,540)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
52.2% (1,848)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
41.3% (1,766)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,628).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zibanejad
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.6% (7,444)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.3% (7,711)
By Period
Spezza
Zibanejad
P1
55.7%
50.4%
P2
54.4%
49.7%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
51.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 20, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |