Jason Spezza vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 80.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 70.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Spezza
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Spezza
MacKinnon
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
2
Spezza
MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
6
Spezza
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
46.1% (11,218)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.3% (1,412)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.8% (502)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Spezza
MacKinnon
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Spezza
MacKinnon
P1
55.7%
47.4%
P2
54.4%
46.6%
P3
54.1%
46.1%
OT
51.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |