Jason Spezza vs Nick Paul

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jason Spezza holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Spezza 54.7% vs Paul 52.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor Spezza leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Spezza 86.9%
Defensive zone Spezza 53.4%
Neutral zone Spezza 70.9%
Result Jason Spezza favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Spezza Paul
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 4 (13 meetings)
9
4
Spezza Paul
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Paul

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Spezza Paul
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Spezza
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
52.5% (3,746)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
56.1% (469)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
46.8% (571)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Paul shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Paul is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,770).
Home / Away
Spezza
Paul
Home
56.8% (5,066)
52.6% (2,384)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
51.7% (2,403)
By Period
Spezza
Paul
P1
55.7%
53.8%
P2
54.4%
51.1%
P3
54.1%
51.9%
OT
51.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%
48.5%
54.7%
Paul
54.0%
54.5%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 21, 2022 3 04:46 Neutral Nick Paul
Apr 21, 2022 3 04:33 Neutral Nick Paul
Oct 16, 2021 2 08:07 Offensive Jason Spezza
Oct 16, 2021 1 11:04 Neutral Jason Spezza
May 12, 2021 2 09:07 Neutral Jason Spezza
May 12, 2021 2 04:56 Offensive Jason Spezza
Apr 10, 2021 2 14:34 Neutral Nick Paul
Mar 25, 2021 2 19:15 Defensive Jason Spezza
Mar 25, 2021 2 10:02 Offensive Jason Spezza
Feb 18, 2021 2 19:16 Defensive Jason Spezza
Feb 17, 2021 3 14:55 Offensive Nick Paul
Feb 15, 2021 3 19:47 Offensive Jason Spezza
Feb 15, 2021 1 11:44 Defensive Jason Spezza