Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 74.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 61.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 70.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Spezza
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Spezza
Zacha
Last 10: Spezza 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
2
Spezza
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
4
Spezza
Zacha
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
5
Spezza
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
48.9% (5,102)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.6% (804)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
42.2% (555)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zacha
Home
56.8% (5,066)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Spezza
Zacha
P1
55.7%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
49.2%
P3
54.1%
48.1%
OT
51.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |