Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 67.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 69.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 52.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Spezza
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Spezza
Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Spezza
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
52.5% (772)
+1.2%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
60.8% (153)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
48.0% (100)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Getzlaf is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Spezza
Getzlaf
Home
55.0% (282)
56.0% (557)
Away
50.8% (295)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Spezza
Getzlaf
P1
53.1%
52.2%
P2
53.2%
53.0%
P3
52.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |