Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 23 meetings). Spezza wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 34-27 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 56.8%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 63.8%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 58.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Spezza
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
34
(61 meetings)
27
34
Spezza
Getzlaf
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
8
12
Spezza
Getzlaf
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
9
14
Spezza
Getzlaf
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
8
Spezza
Getzlaf
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
49.6% (10,258)
+4.8%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
54.9% (1,381)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
44.8% (1,055)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Spezza shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Spezza
Getzlaf
Home
56.8% (5,066)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Spezza
Getzlaf
P1
55.7%
49.2%
P2
54.4%
50.4%
P3
54.1%
49.7%
OT
51.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |