Jason Spezza vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 46.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
6
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
44.3% (1,117)
+8.7%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
52.4% (208)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
51.6% (31)
-1.6%
On even strength, Spezza has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.4% (626)
47.6% (655)
Away
51.7% (636)
43.9% (701)
By Period
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.9%
43.9%
P2
51.9%
46.8%
P3
53.9%
47.0%
OT
46.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2014 | OT | 03:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |