Jason Spezza vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 70.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
43.0% (349)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
31.8% (88)
+6.4%
On even strength, Spezza has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.0% (282)
38.5% (231)
Away
50.8% (295)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.1%
40.2%
P2
53.2%
36.0%
P3
52.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%