Jason Spezza vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 39-19 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 95.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 85.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 93.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
19
(58 meetings)
39
19
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
11
5
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
17
3
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
44.9% (8,756)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
50.7% (839)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
37.9% (879)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.8% (5,066)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.7%
45.1%
P2
54.4%
43.9%
P3
54.1%
45.3%
OT
51.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |