Jason Spezza vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 69.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 75.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (763)
43.2% (695)
+10.0%
Power Play
60.9% (197)
53.8% (104)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (21)
54.2% (24)
+2.9%
On even strength, Spezza has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Spezza shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.5% (518)
48.2% (465)
Away
51.8% (463)
40.5% (358)
By Period
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.4%
40.8%
P2
54.1%
41.3%
P3
55.5%
52.1%
OT
25.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |