Jason Spezza vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 62.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 71.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Spezza 8-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
0
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
45.0% (1,011)
+6.3%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
46.7% (135)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
31.1% (122)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Spezza shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.7% (374)
43.8% (625)
Away
50.3% (304)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Spezza
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.2%
47.8%
P2
50.2%
39.5%
P3
56.2%
44.2%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |