Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Steel 49.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Spezza
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Spezza
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Spezza
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
49.3% (383)
+4.4%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
59.1% (22)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
14.3% (7)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Spezza
Steel
Home
55.0% (282)
49.4% (180)
Away
50.8% (295)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Spezza
Steel
P1
53.1%
51.9%
P2
53.2%
43.8%
P3
52.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |