Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Thompson 41.2% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 84.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 62.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Spezza
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Spezza
Thompson
Last 8: Spezza 5-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Spezza
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
40.6% (801)
+13.1%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
44.7% (103)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
31.0% (71)
+7.2%
On even strength, Spezza has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Spezza shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Spezza
Thompson
Home
55.0% (282)
43.2% (507)
Away
50.8% (295)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Spezza
Thompson
P1
53.1%
37.7%
P2
53.2%
43.4%
P3
52.3%
39.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |