Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Zucker wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zucker 43.4% vs Dowd 49.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 91.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.0%
Neutral zone
Zucker 60.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Zucker
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zucker
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
1
0
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zucker
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (29)
51.7% (644)
+0.0%
Power Play
32.5% (83)
0.0% (2)
+32.5%
On power play, Zucker has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zucker is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Zucker shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Zucker
Dowd
Home
45.2% (62)
48.6% (451)
Away
28.0% (50)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Zucker
Dowd
P1
48.9%
49.1%
P2
29.7%
47.3%
P3
28.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zucker
42.0%▲
37.0%
37.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |