Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Zucker wins 27.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zucker 44.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 96.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.6%
Neutral zone
Zucker 69.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Zucker
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zucker
Dowd
Last 6: Zucker 1-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
1
0
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Zucker
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zucker
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (39)
52.2% (835)
-18.9%
Power Play
43.3% (67)
60.0% (10)
-16.7%
On even strength, Dowd has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zucker is 27.1% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Zucker shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Zucker
Dowd
Home
40.4% (47)
51.5% (619)
Away
39.0% (59)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Zucker
Dowd
P1
48.4%
51.7%
P2
30.8%
51.6%
P3
42.9%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
31.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zucker
42.0%▲
37.0%
39.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | OT | 04:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |