Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Zucker wins 30.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zucker 37.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 94.0%
Defensive zone
Zucker 52.6%
Neutral zone
Zucker 78.0%
Result
Jason Zucker favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Zucker
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Zucker
Dowd
Last 8: Zucker 2-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
2
0
Zucker
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
5
Zucker
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Zucker
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zucker
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
33.5% (200)
52.4% (6,009)
-18.9%
Power Play
36.4% (173)
56.1% (164)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
44.1% (1,635)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Zucker is 30.8% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Zucker shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Zucker
Dowd
Home
36.3% (190)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
32.6% (187)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Zucker
Dowd
P1
39.0%
51.7%
P2
26.8%
50.4%
P3
38.2%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
30.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zucker
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | OT | 04:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |