Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Beagle 55.5% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 93.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 57.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 77.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Stepan
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Stepan
Beagle
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
6
Stepan
Beagle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Stepan
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
57.7% (572)
-10.9%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
28.6% (7)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
52.5% (179)
-4.2%
On power play, Stepan has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Stepan shoots right. Beagle is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Stepan
Beagle
Home
48.6% (666)
58.2% (378)
Away
46.1% (710)
54.2% (380)
By Period
Stepan
Beagle
P1
46.3%
58.8%
P2
50.7%
51.9%
P3
45.5%
58.1%
OT
39.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |