Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Beagle 57.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 61.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 80.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Brassard
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Brassard
Beagle
Last 10: Brassard 9-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
0
Brassard
Beagle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
58.1% (485)
-9.2%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
84.6% (13)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
55.4% (139)
-12.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Brassard is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Brassard shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Brassard
Beagle
Home
50.9% (666)
57.0% (307)
Away
49.6% (680)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Brassard
Beagle
P1
53.3%
59.1%
P2
47.5%
59.8%
P3
49.9%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2016 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |