Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Beagle 57.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 91.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 79.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Larkin
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Larkin
Beagle
Last 9: Larkin 8-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
0
Larkin
Beagle
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Larkin
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
60.3% (735)
-11.8%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
42.9% (7)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
53.9% (256)
-5.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beagle
Home
51.4% (652)
61.9% (475)
Away
48.5% (662)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Larkin
Beagle
P1
49.1%
60.5%
P2
52.0%
54.4%
P3
48.0%
61.3%
OT
52.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |