Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.6% vs Beagle 58.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 78.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 50.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Evans
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Evans
Beagle
Last 5: Evans 2-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Evans
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (45)
59.0% (458)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
84.2% (19)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
57.2% (201)
-12.8%
On power play, Beagle has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Evans is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Evans shoots right. Beagle is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Evans
Beagle
Home
54.3% (35)
62.7% (306)
Away
47.6% (21)
56.2% (372)
By Period
Evans
Beagle
P1
66.7%
64.5%
P2
54.5%
56.7%
P3
36.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
35.7%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
51.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jake Evans |