Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Thornton 46.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 65.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 94.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 87.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Beagle
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Beagle
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
43.5% (161)
+13.7%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
50.0% (14)
+37.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thornton
Home
62.0% (200)
41.5% (106)
Away
53.4% (264)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Beagle
Thornton
P1
55.8%
50.8%
P2
60.1%
41.0%
P3
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |