Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs McCarron 53.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 58.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 66.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 56.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Beagle
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Beagle
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
57.5% (308)
-0.3%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
50.0% (2)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
32.6% (43)
+19.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Beagle
McCarron
Home
62.0% (200)
48.3% (147)
Away
53.4% (264)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Beagle
McCarron
P1
55.8%
53.4%
P2
60.1%
59.5%
P3
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |