Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs McCarron 52.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beagle 66.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 81.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 72.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Beagle
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Beagle
McCarron
Last 10: Beagle 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
3
Beagle
McCarron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
53.4% (2,901)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
45.3% (86)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
50.5% (463)
+3.7%
On power play, Beagle has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Beagle
McCarron
Home
59.1% (3,228)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Beagle
McCarron
P1
57.4%
53.9%
P2
57.1%
52.5%
P3
56.2%
52.0%
OT
41.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |