Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+11.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 75.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Beagle
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
45.8% (755)
+11.4%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
48.3% (60)
+39.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
27.6% (29)
+24.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Beagle
MacKinnon
Home
62.0% (200)
49.5% (396)
Away
53.4% (264)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Beagle
MacKinnon
P1
55.8%
50.2%
P2
60.1%
43.8%
P3
54.5%
41.4%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%