Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.7% vs Johansen 55.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 75.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 90.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 66.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Beagle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beagle
Johansen
Last 5: Beagle 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (735)
55.9% (1,157)
+4.4%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
56.5% (237)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (256)
43.3% (67)
+10.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Beagle is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Beagle shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Beagle
Johansen
Home
61.9% (475)
55.8% (733)
Away
55.4% (523)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Beagle
Johansen
P1
60.5%
53.5%
P2
54.4%
55.9%
P3
61.3%
57.2%
OT
33.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |