Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Johansen 52.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 85.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Beagle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beagle
Johansen
Last 6: Beagle 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Beagle
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Beagle
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
49.4% (1,010)
+7.8%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
62.3% (236)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
67.2% (67)
-15.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Beagle
Johansen
Home
62.0% (200)
54.7% (655)
Away
53.4% (264)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Beagle
Johansen
P1
55.8%
52.2%
P2
60.1%
50.7%
P3
54.5%
54.8%
OT
62.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
63.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |