Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Beagle wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 93.2%
Neutral zone
Beagle 70.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Beagle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Beagle
Johansen
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
0
Beagle
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Beagle
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
54.7% (1,149)
+3.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
49.7% (191)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
47.9% (121)
+4.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Beagle is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Beagle shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Beagle
Johansen
Home
58.2% (378)
52.5% (739)
Away
54.2% (380)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Beagle
Johansen
P1
58.8%
53.8%
P2
51.9%
55.8%
P3
58.1%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |