Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 58.0% vs Johansen 52.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 95.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Beagle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Beagle
Johansen
Last 8: Beagle 1-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Beagle
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Beagle
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (458)
53.4% (845)
+5.6%
Power Play
84.2% (19)
58.8% (102)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
57.2% (201)
44.7% (85)
+12.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Beagle is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Beagle shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Beagle
Johansen
Home
62.7% (306)
53.2% (479)
Away
56.2% (372)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Beagle
Johansen
P1
64.5%
53.8%
P2
56.7%
53.9%
P3
56.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |