Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Bozak 53.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 74.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 57.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Beagle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Beagle
Bozak
Last 8: Beagle 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Beagle
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Beagle
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
53.8% (1,244)
+4.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.1% (356)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
49.1% (175)
+3.5%
On power play, Bozak has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Beagle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Beagle shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bozak
Home
57.9% (183)
57.7% (892)
Away
55.2% (201)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Beagle
Bozak
P1
54.7%
54.0%
P2
62.1%
54.4%
P3
50.9%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |