Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 36-27 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 68.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 89.7%
Neutral zone
Beagle 66.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Beagle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
27
(63 meetings)
36
27
Beagle
Bozak
Last 10: Beagle 8-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
14
Beagle
Bozak
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
20
6
Beagle
Bozak
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
13
7
Beagle
Bozak
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
53.7% (9,596)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
55.2% (1,990)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
48.0% (1,094)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Beagle shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bozak
Home
59.1% (3,228)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Beagle
Bozak
P1
57.4%
53.2%
P2
57.1%
52.8%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
OT
41.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |