Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Beagle wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Bozak 46.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 72.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 92.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 81.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Beagle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Beagle
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
0
Beagle
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
46.7% (338)
+10.5%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
50.0% (6)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
32.6% (43)
+19.0%
On power play, Beagle has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Beagle shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bozak
Home
62.0% (200)
47.9% (194)
Away
53.4% (264)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Beagle
Bozak
P1
55.8%
40.2%
P2
60.1%
51.4%
P3
54.5%
43.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |